Market Updates March 11, 2025

How U.S. Tariffs Could Impact Housing In Canada

If the U.S. places tariffs on Canadian lumber, aluminum, and steel, Canada’s housing market could suffer. Home prices may rise. Construction could slow. Renovations might become more expensive. With affordability already a challenge, these changes could make things worse. Here’s how.

Higher Costs, Higher Prices

Lumber, aluminum, and steel are key building materials. If tariffs increase costs, builders will pay more. They will pass those costs to buyers. In cities like Toronto and Vancouver, where prices are already high, homeownership could become even harder.

Fewer New Homes

When materials cost more, developers may delay or cancel projects. This means fewer homes enter the market. The housing shortage would get worse. With demand still high, prices would rise even more. Finding an affordable home would become even harder.

More Expensive Renovations

It’s not just new homes—renovations would cost more too. Homeowners planning upgrades, extensions, or repairs would face higher prices. Many might delay projects. This would hurt contractors and suppliers.

Job Losses in Construction

With fewer homes and renovations, construction jobs could disappear. This would affect builders, suppliers, and tradespeople. A slowdown in construction would impact the economy. Growth in related industries could stall.

What Can Be Done?

1. Find New Buyers

Canada could sell lumber, aluminum, and steel to other markets. Diversifying trade could help stabilize demand. It would also keep prices in check.

2. Government Support

The government could offer subsidies or tax incentives. This could help builders manage rising costs. It would keep projects moving and prevent further price hikes.

3. Better Trade Agreements

Instead of escalating tensions, Canada and the U.S. could negotiate fair trade deals. A stable trade relationship would help control costs. It would also keep the housing market steady.

Final Thoughts

If tariffs take effect, home prices could rise. Construction could slow. Jobs could be lost. To prevent a deeper affordability crisis, Canada needs solutions. Trade deals, government support, and new markets could help. With housing already a major issue, action is needed now.